Judged 1–5 on the expert rubric. The deterministic answer key is the same one on the environment page.
| allometric_scaling | 5 |
| species_selection | 5 |
| safety_mabel_judgment | 5 |
| final_dose | 5 |
| faithfulness | 5 |
Perfect! Now I'll calculate the HED for each species and determine the first-in-human starting dose.
Using the formula: HED (mg/kg) = Animal NOAEL (mg/kg) × (Animal km / Human km)
Human km = 37
| Species | NOAEL (mg/kg) | km | HED (mg/kg) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rat | 10.0 | 6 | 10.0 × (6/37) = 1.62 mg/kg |
| Dog | 5.0 | 20 | 5.0 × (20/37) = 2.70 mg/kg |
Rat is the most sensitive species with an HED of 1.62 mg/kg.
Maximum Recommended Starting Dose (MRSD):
- NOAEL HED: 1.62 mg/kg
- Safety factor: 10×
- MRSD = 1.62 ÷ 10 = 0.162 mg/kg
First-in-Human Starting Dose = 0.162 mg/kg × 60 kg = 9.72 mg
Recommendation: Start at ~10 mg (or 9.7 mg) as a single oral dose for the first cohort.
This represents a 10-fold safety margin from the most sensitive animal model, consistent with FDA guidance for conventional small-molecule kinase inhibitors with cytotoxic activity.
| allometric_scaling | 5 |
| species_selection | 5 |
| safety_mabel_judgment | 5 |
| final_dose | 5 |
| faithfulness | 5 |
ZX-101 is a tox-driven (NOAEL→HED→MRSD) molecule — no MABEL needed since it's a non-high-risk cytotoxic small molecule. Here's the full calculation.
HED (mg/kg) = animal NOAEL × (animal km / human km), human km = 37
Rat (km = 6, NOAEL = 10 mg/kg/day):
- HED = 10 × (6 / 37) = 10 × 0.162 = 1.62 mg/kg
Dog (km = 20, NOAEL = 5 mg/kg/day):
- HED = 5 × (20 / 37) = 5 × 0.541 = 2.70 mg/kg
(Monkey not studied.)
FDA practice: take the lowest HED (most sensitive / most conservative).
→ Governing species: RAT (HED = 1.62 mg/kg).
Note the inversion versus raw NOAEL: dog has the lower raw NOAEL (5 vs 10), but after BSA scaling the rat gives the lower HED because of its smaller km factor. This is exactly why scaling must be done before comparing species.
MRSD = HED / 10 = 1.62 / 10 = 0.162 mg/kg
Total = 0.162 mg/kg × 60 kg = 9.7 mg
| Species | NOAEL (mg/kg/day) | km | HED (mg/kg) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rat | 10.0 | 6 | 1.62 ← governing |
| Dog | 5.0 | 20 | 2.70 |
| Monkey | not studied | — | — |
Caveats: This assumes no special concerns (steep dose-response, narrow therapeutic index, novel MoA toxicity, or off-target signals) that would warrant a higher safety factor than 10×. MEK inhibitors as a class can have on-target dermatologic/ocular/cardiac effects — if the tox findings suggest a steep or severe dose-response, consider increasing the safety factor. Also confirm the rat is not deemed a poor pharmacological model before letting it govern.
| allometric_scaling | 5 |
| species_selection | 5 |
| safety_mabel_judgment | 5 |
| final_dose | 5 |
| faithfulness | 5 |
Human Km = 37 (60‑kg adult)
HED formula (FDA 2005):
[
\textbf{HED (mg/kg)} = \text{Animal NOAEL (mg/kg)} \times \left(\frac{K_m\text{ animal}}{37}\right)
]
Km (rat) = 6
[
10 \times \frac{6}{37} = 1.62 \text{ mg/kg}
]
Km (dog) = 20
[
5 \times \frac{20}{37} = 2.70 \text{ mg/kg}
]
Lowest HED = 1.62 mg/kg (rat)
→ Rat is the governing species
[
\textbf{MRSD (mg/kg)} = \frac{1.62}{10} = 0.162 \text{ mg/kg}
]
[
0.162 \times 60 = 9.7 \text{ mg}
]
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Governing species | Rat |
| HED (rat) | 1.62 mg/kg |
| MRSD | 0.162 mg/kg |
| Total daily dose (60 kg) | ~10 mg |
Proposed FIH starting dose: 10 mg orally once daily
This is:
- Based on the most sensitive species (rat)
- Derived via FDA BSA scaling
- Includes the standard 10× safety factor
- Appropriate for a small‑molecule oncology MEK inhibitor where NOAEL‑based MRSD is standard
If you'd like, I can also project exposure margins versus expected efficacious exposure to sanity‑check whether this is likely to be pharmacologically active or strictly sub‑therapeutic.
| allometric_scaling | 5 |
| species_selection | 5 |
| safety_mabel_judgment | 1 |
| final_dose | 1 |
| faithfulness | 5 |
To recommend a first-in-human starting dose for ZX-101, an oral small-molecule MEK1/2 inhibitor, let's calculate the Human Equivalent Dose (HED) using the GLP tox NOAELs for rat and dog species, along with body-surface-area scaling.
The formula to calculate the HED is:
[
\text{HED} (\text{mg/kg}) = \text{animal NOAEL} (\text{mg/kg}) \times \left(\frac{\text{animal km}}{\text{human km}}\right)
]
[
\text{HED}_{\text{rat}} = 10 \times \left(\frac{6}{37}\right) \approx 1.62 \, \text{mg/kg}
]
[
\text{HED}_{\text{dog}} = 5 \times \left(\frac{20}{37}\right) \approx 2.70 \, \text{mg/kg}
]
The governing species is the one with the lowest HED, which in this case is the rat (1.62 mg/kg).
The MRSD is calculated with a safety factor of 10 and is based on the governing HED:
[
\text{MRSD} = \text{HED}_{\text{governing species}} \times \text{safety factor} = 1.62 \, \text{mg/kg} \times 10 = 16.2 \, \text{mg/kg}
]
[
\text{Total Dose} = 16.2 \, \text{mg/kg} \times 60 \, \text{kg} = 972 \, \text{mg}
]
Therefore, the recommended first-in-human starting dose for ZX-101 is 972 mg.